b. What is the critical path? ⒸA-C-F-H OA-D-F-H OA-D-G-H OB-E-G-H
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- The following precedence diagram reflects three time estimates for each activity. Determine: Use Table B1 and Table B2. 9-10-12 3 8 5-7-10 8-10-14 11-12-13 6 11 14-18-26 10.5-13-15.5 10 8-8-8 1 5-6-7 2 4 13-13-13 7 7-10-12 a. The expected completion time for each path and its variance. (Round intermediate calculations to 4 decimal places and final answers to 2 decimal places.) Path Mean Var. Std. Dev. 1-2-3-8-11 37.33 1-2-4-6-11 43.00 5.11 1-2-4-7-11 0.81 1-2-5-9-10-11 46.83 1.25 9-9-9 10-11-12 10-12-14Topic: ProbabilityGoal: In your business planning, you will employ mathematics probability to increase your chances of success.You play the role of a tiny business owner who wants to expand into a much larger enterprise. You must write a written report and deliver it to the group on the most likely outcome(s) of the business you wish to start.The target audience is a group of small company owners who could be interested in partnering with you. Product: A written report on the business's likely results that will be given to the group. Success Criteria: The written report that will be provided must be... - Represents genuine business problems or patterns. - Persuasive, based on probability mathematics.The following represents a project that should be scheduled using CPM: ACTIVITY ABCDEFGH А с IMMEDIATE PREDECESSORS IAABUDR C,D D,E F,G TIMES (DAYS) b a 1 1 3 - NTTTTE 1 1 1 1 2 m 5 WaNNASNU 2 5 4 2 2 6 3 ∞∞NWO3770 9 10 12 8
- Using your results from Problem 6,(a) Calculate the probability that the project will be completedin 38 weeks.(b) Calculate the probability that the project will be completedin 42 weeks(3) A project was planned using PERT. Its expected completion time was determined to be 85 days. The variance of the critical path is 49. What is the probability the project will be completed within 75 days (5 decimal places)? Let X = the project completion time. P(X Please show how you use the Normal Curve Table to obtain your answer in the space below. (4) Perform a project management analysis for the data given below to determine ES, EF, LS, LF, and slack for each activity, the total project completion time, and the critical path. Predecessors Activity A B с D D Time (weeks) 13 12 10 9 E F G H - A A Activity E C, E D, F (a) Draw a network with 1, ES, EF, LS, and LF (follow the same format as Figure 11.5 on p.394). F G H (b) Complete the following table (similar in format to Table 11.3 on p.396). Activity Time (weeks) ES EF LS A B с (c) Identify the critical path(s): (d) Based on your analysis, the project completion time is: Time (weeks) Predecessors B B 11 13 17 14 LF Slack…Evaluate the below statement according to the project management terminologies and choose the correct answer: It is the process of making a forecast or precise approximation Choose... of time and cost associated with a work package or activity. Graphically describes a project consisting of well-defined Choose.. activities, the completion of which marks its end. One of the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process has a Choose.. Tools and Techniques. Useful for building accountability through assigning specific Choose.. tasks to team members. It is the standard format each path through the network must be continuous with no gaps, discontinuities, or dangling Choose... activities. Organizational Assets, Project Scope Statement, Cost Management Plan and Schedule Management Plan are inputs Choose.. of: Choose... Work Breakdown Structure Expert Judgment Bar chart Estimating A horizontal diagram format Plan Risk Management
- 2-41 The time to complete a construction project is normally distributed with a mean of 60 weeks and a standard deviation of 4 weeks. a. What is the probability the project will be finished in 62 weeks or less? b. What is the probability the project will be finished in 66 weeks or less? c. What is the probability the project will take longer than 65 weeks?A project has a PV at status of $55000 at the status date and a BAC of $180000 at the end of the project. the project schedule is 14 months and at the status date AC is equal to 121000 and EV has been calculated to be 31000. project sponsor wants to know what the VACdur forecast is in months if a new eac$ is used for revised funding? sponsor assuming the project will continue the way it is currently going.Create a risk matrix for this project:Event Cost ($000) ProbabilityEquipment breakdown 40 .20Vendor is late with key segment 200 .60Subcontractor has labor issues 140 .30Weather problems 15 UnknownFunding delays 50 .40 to .60Testing delays 20 .40Explain your reasoning for your placement of the events Weather problems and Funding delays.
- MODELLING AND SIMULATION 1. What is the best way to plan a simulation project? Why? 2. Does project management help you to simulate a model? In what way/s? 3. Car dealers have realized how profitable it can be to sell automobiles by using the Web. Pretend that you work for a local car dealership that is part of a large chain of car industry. Create a project management process (include the sub-processes) that you will implement in developing such web-based system.A company is willing to develop their rocket before the end of current financial year which is now 28 weeks away. The chief engineer of the company has decided to use PERT technique in order to plan, schedule and control program of development for the data given in table below. What is the probability that the program will be completed by the end of the current financial year? (all durations are in weeks). (i) G) Optimum Duration Most likely duration Pesimistic duration 1 2 3 8 13 3 2 8 4 3 8 10 4 7 10 3 6. 3 8 4 9 10 4 8. 4 9. 5 7 9. 12 6. 5 11 7 9. 14 8 4. 00 2.Mueller & Associates is a urban planning firm that is designing a new public park in an Omaha suburb. Coordination of the architect and subcontractors will require a major effort to meet the 45-week completion date requested by the owner. The Mueller project manager prepared the following project network. Start A B F H 0 D E Finish Estimates of the optimistic, most probable, and pessimistic times (in weeks) for the activities are as follows. Activity Optimistic Most Probable A 4 8 Pessimistic 12 B 6 7 8 C 6 12 18 D 3 5 7 E 6 9 18 F 5 8 17 G 10 15 20 H 5 6 13