Solutions_Midterm1-prep_306

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Pennsylvania State University *

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306

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Economics

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Apr 29, 2024

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pdf

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Name: Email ID: @psu.edu ECON306, Fall 2022 Solutions: Study Material for Midterm #1 1 Multiple Choice 1) If you find that your regression results are ˆ y i = 15 . 32 + 0 . 00 x i then a) R 2 = 0 X b) 0 < R 2 < 1 c) R 2 = ¯ Y d) R 2 > SSR TSS 2) The slope estimator, ˆ β 1 , has a smaller standard error, all else equal, If a) the sample size is larger X b) the intercept, ˆ β 0 is smaller in absolute value c) there is less variation in the explanatory variable, X d) there is a large variance of the error term, ˆ u i 3) If you’re trying to predict the price of a car based on its weight, then a positive value of the error term means that a) the weight is higher than predicted b) the car is more expensive than predicted X c) the R 2 is small d) the slope of the regression line is positive 4) If you have GDP information for every country in 2021, this is an example of a) experimental data b) cross-sectional data X c) time series data d) panel data
Solutions: ECON 306, Study Material for Midterm #1 Page 2 of 4 2 Short Answer 11. What are the 3 Gauss-Markov conditions and how do they relate to the assumptions of OLS? You may write them “in math” or “in English.” The Gauss-Markov conditions are: GM1) E ( u i | X 1 , ..., X n ) = 0: u i has a conditional mean of 0 GM2) var ( u i | X 1 , ..., X n ) = σ 2 u , 0 < σ 2 u < : u i has a constant variance (homoskedastic) GM3) E ( u i u j | X 1 , ..., X n ) = 0 , i 6 = j . the errors are uncorrelated for different observations If the OLS conditions hold, then the additional assumption of homoskedasticity will allow the G-M conditions to hold. In the regression below, sleep represents the number of minutes of sleep at night per week and age is measured in years. Use the Stata output provided to answer the following questions . summarize age sleep Variable | Obs Mean Std. dev. Min Max -------------+--------------------------------------------------------- age | 706 38.81586 11.34264 23 65 sleep | 706 3266.356 444.4134 755 4695 . regress sleep age Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 706 -------------+---------------------------------- F(1, 704) = 5.80 Model | 1137207.85 1 1137207.85 Prob > F = 0.0163 Residual | 138102628 704 196168.506 R-squared = 0.0082 -------------+---------------------------------- Adj R-squared = 0.0068 Total | 139239836 705 197503.313 Root MSE = 442.91 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ sleep | Coefficient Std. err. t P>|t| [95% conf. interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- age | 3.540881 1.470639 2.41 0.016 .6535177 6.428244 _cons | 3128.913 59.46811 52.61 0.000 3012.157 3245.669 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 12. Interpret the intercept in the context of this regression. Explain why the interpretation is or is not meaningful. You would get 3128.913 minutes of sleep per week if you are 0 years old. This is not helpful because newborn babies have way different sleep patterns. Notice that the minimum age in the data set is 23 years.
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