A) What is the critical path B) what is the expected completion time for the project? C) What is the expected or mean completion time for activity B ? D) what is the expected or mean completion time for activity F ?
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- In 1996, McDonald’s (MD) launched Campaign 55, reducing the prices ofits “flagship” sandwiches with the objective of regaining market share. Beforethe launch, suppose MD’s management envisioned two possible outcomes: astrong customer response or a weak response. Industry experts were notvery optimistic about the campaign. They assessed the probability of a strong response to be .40. MD predicted an expected profit of $50 million if theresponse proved to be strong. If the immediate customer response was weak,management believed that all was not lost. If MD could persuade themajority of its franchisees to back and help fund the campaign, the resultingprofit would be $20 million. However, if the majority rose up against thecampaign, the red ink would fly, and McDonald’s profit would be -$100million. MD considered these two outcomes to be equally likely.a. Given these assessments, construct a decision tree to determine MD’sexpected-profit-maximizing course of action.b. Suppose that MD has…Topic: ProbabilityGoal: In your business planning, you will employ mathematics probability to increase your chances of success.You play the role of a tiny business owner who wants to expand into a much larger enterprise. You must write a written report and deliver it to the group on the most likely outcome(s) of the business you wish to start.The target audience is a group of small company owners who could be interested in partnering with you. Product: A written report on the business's likely results that will be given to the group. Success Criteria: The written report that will be provided must be... - Represents genuine business problems or patterns. - Persuasive, based on probability mathematics.Management Decision Systems (MDS) is a consulting company that specializes in the development of decision support systems. MDS has a four-person team working on a current project with a s company to set up a system that scrapes data from a collection of websites and then automatically generates a report for management on a daily basis. Time (Weeks) Activity A B с с Description Report generation Web scraping Testing Immediate Predecessor This answer has not been graded yet. A, B Optimistic 2 5 1 Most Probable (a) Construct the project network. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen 9 10 1 O The probability estimate from (c) based on both paths is more accurate. O The probability estimates from (b) and (c) are equal. Pessimistic (d) Should you use the estimate in (b) or (c)? O The probability estimate from (b) based on the critical path is more accurate. 13 12 (b) Based solely on the critical path, estimate the probability that the project will be…
- What is the difference between Maximum Foreseeable Loss(MFL), Probable Maximum Loss(PML), and Estimated Maximum Loss(EML)? Please use your own word :)A project has a PV at status of $55000 at the status date and a BAC of $180000 at the end of the project. the project schedule is 14 months and at the status date AC is equal to 121000 and EV has been calculated to be 31000. project sponsor wants to know what the VACdur forecast is in months if a new eac$ is used for revised funding? sponsor assuming the project will continue the way it is currently going.gie.tom/f8rms/d/e/1FAlpQLSeDuSX9Tounfsa gloLprqRB30fqNID4K-6fSKeKf4xKPx7hg/formResponse A Adaptive Math | Ad. O New Tab XYZ Airlines has a 2015-2020 plan that is coming to a closure. Now is the time to create a new plan for 2021-2026. The airline's plan needs to include goals and the general plan of action on how to achieve them. The plan is a five-year outlook on its operations, fleet, pilots, customers, and more. This plan will be put by the top managers and allows employees to participate in all the steps of the planning process. By allowing employees to participate at all the steps of the planning process, the company uses Direct planning Participatory planning Flexible planning Functional planning O O
- Table Q4b. shows data obtained using the scoring method in a project selection exercise. (i) Describe clearly how the scoring method works, using table Q4b. as an example upon which to base your description. (ii) The project manager must select one project only. State which project, the project manager should select (Project A, Project B or Project C) and provide a justification based on the data provided in Table Q4b. Weighted Score (= Score x Weighting) Criterion Weight Project A Project B Project C Criterion 1 Mandatory Yes Yes No Criterion 2 10 9 x 10 = 90 8 x 10 = 80 9 x 10 = 90 Criterion 3 8 9х8%3D 72 8 x 8 = 64 9 x 8 = 72 Criterion 4 6 x 6 = 36 7 x 6 = 42 9 x 6 = 54 Criterion 5 4 7x 4 = 28 8 x 4 = 32 9 x 4 = 36 Total Score 226 218 252 Table Q4b1. Read the case below. Develop a theoretical frame work and show by a figure. State hypotheses involved in this model. Incidence of smoking in movies has started to increase again, after having declined for several decades. According to the National Cancer Institute, smoking is seen in at least three out of four contemporary box-office hits. What’s more, identifiable cigarette brands appeared in about one-third of all movies in 2008. Exposure to smoking in movies is an important predictor of adolescent smoking initiation: smoking in movies has been shown to affect adolescents’ intentions to start smoking. In turn, the intentions to start smoking are determined by a more positive attitudetoward smoking after seeing a film character smoke. Recent research has revealed that the relationship between seeing a film character smoke and the attitude toward smoking is stronger when a person’s identification with a film character increases. These findings are consistent with social learning…A) Which of the following is NOT included in the risk register? a. Prioritized list of quantified risks b. Potential responses to identified risks c. Revised stakeholder tolerance d. A list of identified risks B) The Responsibility Assignment Matrix (RAM) is: a. Used to identify accountabilities and responsibilities in individual performance appraisals of project team members. b. Used for development of the project budget and network diagrams. c. Developed at the activity level and used to closely link project roles and responsibilities to project network activities. d. Used to illustrate the connections between work packages or activities and project team members. It ensures that there is only one person accountable for any one task to avoid confusion of responsibility. C) The process of cost estimation is defined in which process? a. Control Cost b. Plan Cost Management c. Estimate Cost d. Budget Cost
- A. A company wants to produce a souvenir with a marketing life of six months. Uncertainty surrounds the likely sales volume as well as the fixed costs of the venture as shown below: Sales units Probability Contrn. /unit Probability Fixed cost K7 K5 100 000 0.3 80 000 0.6 60 000 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 Determine the expected value of the contribution K400 000 K450 000 K500 000 Probability 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.0MNGT 21 – Management Science Decision Tree 1. A manager has to decide whether to prepare a bid or not. It costs P5,000 to prepare the bid. If the bid is submitted, the probability that the contract will be awarded is 50%. If the company is awarded the contract, it may earn an income of P100,000 if it succeeds, or pay a fine of P8,000 if it fails. The probability of success is estimated to be 80%. Should the manager prepare a bid? Mr. del Mundo, the president of RFC Corporation is faced with deciding whether to purchase a patent to develop a new product or not. If the company purchases the patent, it should develop the product. The selling price of the patent if P50,000. There are two ways of developing the product: the Modern Method and the Traditional Method. It costs P20,000 to use the Modern Method, and P15,000 for the traditional Method. The proby, of success in the Modern Method is 60%, while it is 70% for the Traditional Method. If the product is successfully developed, it will…A national survey indicated that 30% of adults conduct their banking online. It also found that 40% are under the age of 50, and that 25% are under the age of 50 and conduct their banking online. A. What percentage of adults do not conduct their banking online? B. What type of probability is the 25% mentioned above? Just write down the name of the probability. C. Construct a joint probability table showing all joint and marginal probabilities.