Determine whether or not to stock a large supply of steel. There is uncertainty in the price of steel. Based on past history the following data are available   Price (future) Prob (Price) PW if stocked PW if not stocked High 0.3 100000 0 Medium 0.5 -10000 0 Low 0.2 -50000 0   What is the probability that stocking steel will result in a negative present worth (PW)?

Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Chapter20: The Problem Of Adverse Selection Moral Hazard
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Determine whether or not to stock a large supply of steel. There is uncertainty in the price of steel. Based on past history the following data are available

 

Price (future)

Prob (Price)

PW if stocked

PW if not stocked

High

0.3

100000

0

Medium

0.5

-10000

0

Low

0.2

-50000

0

 

What is the probability that stocking steel will result in a negative present worth (PW)?

 

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