Answered: If the company chooses to drill today,…

Name: The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract
Uploaded: 2024-03-20T06:50:59.000Z
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Description: The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $4 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $

Business

Finance

If the company chooses to drill today, what is the project's net present value?

EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

14th Edition

ISBN:9781337514835

Author:MOYER

Publisher:MOYER

Chapter10: Capital Budgeting: Decision Criteria And Real Option

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 12P

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The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 11%. If the company chooses to drill today, what is the project's net present value? Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions. For example, an answer of $1.23 million should be entered…
The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 10%. Use the Black-Scholes model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the variance of the project's rate of return is 0.632 and that the risk-free rate is 5%. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your…
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