Problem 1) The Nitro Fertilizer Company is developing a new fertilizer. If Nitro markets the product and it is successful, then the company will earn a $50,000 profit; if it is unsuccessful, the company will lose $50,000. In that past, similar products have been successful 55% of the time. At a cost of $10,000, the effectiveness of the new fertilizer can be tested. If the test result is favorable, there is an 80% chance that the fertilizer will be successful. If the test result is unfavorable, there is only a 30% chance that the fertilizer will be successful. There is a 60% chance of a favorable test result and a 40% chance of an unfavorable test result. a) Construct a decision tree to determine Nitro's optimal strategy b) Find the EVSI and EVPI Note I need solution of part A only
Problem 1) The Nitro Fertilizer Company is developing a new fertilizer. If Nitro markets the product and it is successful, then the company will earn a $50,000 profit; if it is unsuccessful, the company will lose $50,000. In that past, similar products have been successful 55% of the time. At a cost of $10,000, the effectiveness of the new fertilizer can be tested. If the test result is favorable, there is an 80% chance that the fertilizer will be successful. If the test result is unfavorable, there is only a 30% chance that the fertilizer will be successful. There is a 60% chance of a favorable test result and a 40% chance of an unfavorable test result. a) Construct a decision tree to determine Nitro's optimal strategy b) Find the EVSI and EVPI Note I need solution of part A only
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
Related questions
Question
100%
Problem 1) The Nitro Fertilizer Company is developing a new fertilizer. If Nitro markets
the product and it is successful, then the company will earn a $50,000 profit; if it is
unsuccessful, the company will lose $50,000. In that past, similar products have been
successful 55% of the time. At a cost of $10,000, the effectiveness of the new fertilizer
can be tested. If the test result is favorable, there is an 80% chance that the fertilizer will
be successful. If the test result is unfavorable, there is only a 30% chance that the fertilizer
will be successful. There is a 60% chance of a favorable test result and a 40% chance of
an unfavorable test result.
a) Construct a decision tree to determine Nitro's optimal strategy
b) Find the EVSI and EVPI
Note I need solution of part A only
Expert Solution
This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
Step by step
Solved in 2 steps with 1 images
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259667473
Author:
William J Stevenson
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259666100
Author:
F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259667473
Author:
William J Stevenson
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259666100
Author:
F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781285869681
Author:
Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Editi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781478623069
Author:
Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen
Publisher:
Waveland Press, Inc.