Provide all techniques practiced previously: five (5) techniques for Decisions Making under Uncertainty, EMV, EOL, and EVPI. Use α = 0.7 for the Hurwicz.
Provide all techniques practiced previously: five (5) techniques for Decisions Making under Uncertainty, EMV, EOL, and EVPI. Use α = 0.7 for the Hurwicz.
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.6: The Role Of Risk Aversion
Problem 26P
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- Using Excel Spreadsheet and formulas for this problem (make sure cell references are unique to your table). Provide all techniques practiced previously: five (5) techniques for Decisions Making under Uncertainty, EMV, EOL, and EVPI. Use α = 0.7 for the Hurwicz. Use the .50 for the probability of a Good Economy and .50 for the probability of a Poor Economy. Show the work on an Excel file.
|
STATE OF NATURE |
|
DECISION ALTERNATIVE |
GOOD ECONOMY |
POOR ECONOMY |
Sotck market |
80,000 |
-20,000 |
Bonds |
30,000 |
20,000 |
CDs |
23,000 |
23,000 |
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Step 1: Introduce the decision making techniques
VIEWStep 2: Determine optimal decision with maximin and maximax
VIEWStep 3: Determine optimal decision with Minimax regret and Laplace method
VIEWStep 4: Determine optimal decision with Hurwicz and EMV
VIEWStep 5: Determine optimal decision with EOL
VIEWStep 6: Determine EVPI
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