Use a three-period and a four-period weighted moving average to forecast sales for the 12th month. (Use weights of 1,2,3 and 1,2,3 4). From the data provided in the case, use MAD to determine which forecasting technique is more accurate. If forecast for month 7 is $72,000, with an alpha of 0.4, use exponential smoothing to forecast sales for months 8 and 9

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Practice Question 1

Background
KC Mechanic Shop was established by Mr. John, a seasoned mechanic who has over 20 years of
experience in the automotive repair industry. 
Sales figures for the last ten months are as follows:-
Months Actual Sales
1 30,000
2 39,000
3 42,000
4 50,000
5 55,000
6 61,000
7 70,000
8 77,000
9 81,500
10 90,000
Spare Parts

  1. Use a three-period and a four-period weighted moving average to forecast sales
    for the 12th month. (Use weights of 1,2,3 and 1,2,3 4).
  2. From the data provided in the case, use MAD to determine which forecasting
    technique is more accurate.
  3. If forecast for month 7 is $72,000, with an alpha of 0.4, use exponential
    smoothing to forecast sales for months 8 and 9.

 

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