We have seen the importance of demand forecasting affecting supply chain decisions in many ways. How does the reliability of demand forecasting affect a model to place warehouses for customers? Knowing that there is no specific answer that is always appropriate, how good (measured in percent close) do forecasts have to be in order to be used for network modeling?
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Q: Please show work
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A: THE ANSWER IS AS BELOW:
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A: THE ANSWER IS AS BELOW:
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A: Given data: X Y 2.60 770 3.60 505 2.00 975 4.20 250 3.10 315 4.00 490 19.50 3305
Q: The following table shows the actual demand observed over the last 11 years:…
A: Given Information:
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?As a supply chain manager for a company, you are tasked with forecasting the demand for a particular product. To assess the accuracy of your forecasting model, you decide to calculate the Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) for the past seven months. Below is the data representing the actual demand and forecasted demand for each month: Month Actual Demand Forecasted Demand 1 1000 1100 2 900 1200 3 1300 1400 4 1100 700 5 2000 1700 6 1500 1200 7 1600 1500 What is the Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) for the seven-month period? Question 1 options: a) 20.68% b) 17.66% c) 18.38% d) 19.44%
- Discuss the importance of accurate forecasts in supply chain management.TIRES FOR YOU - Forecast & EOQ Forecast Tires for You, Inc. (TFY), founded in 1987, is an automotive repair shop specializing in replacement tires. Located in Altoona, PA, TFY has grown successfully over the past few years because of the addition of a new general manager, Katie McMullen. Since tire replacement is a major portion of TFY's business (it also performs oil changes, small mechanical repairs, etc.), Katie was surprised at the lack of forecasts for tire consumption for the company. Her senior mechanic, Skip Grenoble, told her that they usually stocked for this year what they sold last year. He readily admitted that several times throughout the season stockouts occurred and customers had to go elsewhere for tires. Although many tire replacements were for defective or destroyed tires, most tires were installed on cars whose original tires had worn out. Most often, four tires were installed at the same time. Katie was determined to get a better idea of how many tires to…Tracy is the the Director of Supply Chain at Circuits Inc. An accurate forecast at Circuits Inc. is very important because of the long lead times for raw materials. Tracy has asked you to quickly pull together forecast accuracy information over the last 5 months to share at the upcoming S & OP meeting. Month Demand Forecast 1 1,200 1,150 2 1,750 1,530 2,250 1,962 4 1,600 1,745 1,550 1,628 What is the MAD for month 5? (use 2 decimal places) O Less than or equal to 100 O Greater than 150 but less than or equal to 200 Greater than 250 O Greater than 200 but less than or equal to250
- Develop an appropriate forecast model for bookstoremanagement to use to forecast computer demand for thenext fall semester and indicate how accurate it appearsto be. What other forecasts might be useful to the book-store in managing its supply chain?The demand data for Double T Computer Services appears below. The company wants you to forecast the demand for period 4. What is your forecast using the least squares method? Period Demand 1 37 2 40 3 40 O 44.6 O 40 O 46.0 O 43.3 O 42.0The following table shows the actual demand observed over the last 11 years: Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Demand 7 9 6 10 12 7 12 12 9 9 8 Part 2 Using exponential smoothing with α = 0.30 and a forecast for year 1 of 6.0, provide the forecast from periods 2 through 12 (round your responses to one decimal place). Part 3 Provide the forecast from periods 2 through 12 using the naive approach (enter your responses as whole numbers).
- The following table shows the actual demand observed over the last 11 years: Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Demand 6 8 4 9 13 8 11 14 9 13 7 Part 2 Using exponential smoothing with α = 0.40 and a forecast for year 1 of 5.0, provide the forecast from periods 2 through 12 (round your responses to one decimal place). Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Forecast 5.0 enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response here enter your response hereProblem 18-3 (Algo) Given the following history, use a three-quarter moving average to forecast the demand for the third quarter of this year. Note, the 1st quarter is Jan, Feb, and Mar; 2nd quarter Apr, May, Jun; 3rd quarter Jul, Aug, Sep; and 4th quarter Oct, Nov, Dec. Last year This year JAN 150 170 FEB MAR 170 190 190 APR MAY 235 225 175 245 270 Forecast for the third quarter JUN 250 215 SEP 175 AUG JUL 195 185 OCT 250 ▸ NOV DEC 275 295