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- 3. An organization decides to assess the impact of its suppliers' failure to meet delivery dates, as well as late payment of their bills on time. by customers or other debtors. This analysis seeks to assess a type of risk: Select one: a.Unpredictable. b.Inherent. c.prevailing. d.Intangible.Define each of the following terms:a. Acceptable risk of overreliance (ARO)true or false Some speculative risks are insurable (T) The possibility of not meeting the annual sales target of one million dollar set by the top management is an example of strategic risk. ABC Insurance Company plans to sell fire insurance in Kedah. ABC expects that eight buildings out of every 100, on average, will report claims each year. The variation between the loss that ABC expects to occur and the loss that actually occurs can be measured by range, variance, standard deviation or coefficient of variation A total loss to the car that could happen to a driver as a result of a collision is an example of pure risk.
- A warehouse manager at Mary Beth Marrs Corp. needs to simulate the demand placed on a product that does not fit standard models. The concept being measured is "demand during lead time," where both lead time and daily demand are variable. The historical record for this product, along with the cumulative distribution, appear in the table. Demand During Lead Time Cumulaive Probability Probability 120 0.01 0.01 140 0.12 0.13 160 0.35 0.48 180 0.20 0.68 200 0.04 0.72 220 0.08 0.80 240 0.20 1.00 The following random numbers have been generated: 9, 78, 40, 41, and 99. (Note: Assume the random number interval begins at 01 and ends at 00.) Based on the given probabilty distribution, for the given random number the demand during the lead time is: Random Number 9 78 40 41 99 Demand The average demand during the lead time is (enter your response as an integer). The total demand during the lead time based on the five simulations is (enter your response as an integer).The Company has the oppotunity to introduce a new product. The sales manager believes that the firm could sell 5,000 units per year at 14 per unit for 5 years. The production manager has determined that machinery costing 60,000 and having a 5 year life and no salvage value could be required. The machinery will have an annual fixed cash operating costs of 4,000. Variable cost per unit will be 8. Straight-line depreciation is to be used for both book and tax purposes. The tax rate is 40% and the firm's cost of capital is 14%. What is the Net Present Value of the Investment?Assume Clinique expects to sell 3 million ounces of BB cream within the first year after introduction butexpects that half of those sales will come from buyers who would otherwise purchase Clinique’s moisturizer (that is, cannibalized sales). Assuming that Cliniquenormally sells 10 million ounces of moisturizer per year and that the company will incur an increase in fixed costs of $2 million during the first year of production for the BB cream, will the new product be profitable for the company? Refer to the discussion of cannibalization in Appendix 3: Marketing by the Numbers for an explanation of how to conduct this analysis. (AACSB: Written and Oral Communication; Analytical Thinking)
- A. A company wants to produce a souvenir with a marketing life of six months. Uncertainty surrounds the likely sales volume as well as the fixed costs of the venture as shown below: Sales units Probability Contrn. /unit Probability Fixed cost K7 K5 100 000 0.3 80 000 0.6 60 000 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 Determine the expected value of the contribution K400 000 K450 000 K500 000 Probability 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.025. Billy’s Bakery bakes fresh bagels each morning. The daily demand for bagels is a random variable with a distribution estimated from prior experience given by # of bagels sold in one day probability 0 .05 5 .10 10 .10 15 .20 20 .25 25 .15 30 .10 35 .05 The bagels cost Billy’s 8 cents to make, and they are sold for 35 cents each. Bagels unsold at the end of the day are purchased by a nearby charity soup kitchen for 3 cents each a) Based on the discrete distribution above, how many bagels should Billy’s bake at the start of each day? b) Determine the optimal number of bagels to bake each day using a normal distribution approximation. (Hint: You must compute the mean and the variance of the demand from the discrete distribution above.)26. Weiss’s paint store uses a reorder point inventory system to control its stock levels. For a particularly popular white latex paint, historical data show that the distribution of monthly demand is approximately normal, with mean 28 and standard…The weekly demand of a slow-moving product has the probability mass function shown to the right. Find the expected value, variance, and standard deviation of weekly demand. The expected value of weekly demand is 1 (Type an integer or a decimal. Do not round.) The variance of weekly demand is 6. (Type an integer or a decimal. Do not round.) The standard deviation of weekly demand is (Round to three decimal places as needed.) Demand, x Probability, f(x) 0.3 0.2 IT 0.4 0.1 0.0 4 or more
- XYZ Insurance Company, a relatively small general insurer, has outsourced its claims adjusting function. Now, when a claim is reported, the insurer notifies the outsource adjusting company, which then causes one of its adjusting personnel to visit the site of the loss and prepare an estimate as to the amount that will have to be paid to settle the claim. The outsource company then notifies the insurer of the amount and this is set up as a case provision in the insurer’s claim files. XYZ has indicated that the adjusting company is more specialized and has greater expertise in this area than the insurer can support in house For claims that can be settled in a straight-forward manner, the adjusting company will pay the claim and then invoice XYZ for the amount. i. Discuss the 3 potential pitfalls in the use of an adjusting company. ii. Discuss 3 advantages on the usage of an adjusting company. iii. Are these sufficient to offset any advantages disadvantages. Explain your answer. iv. You…Consider the case where the left tail of the implied distribution is thinner than that of the log-normal distribution and the right tail of the implied distribution is fatter than that of the log-normal distribution with the same mean and standard deviation. Which of the following statements is correct? A) The implied volatility of a deep out-of-the money put is greater than the one obtained from the Black-Scholes price. B) The implied volatility decreases as the strike price increases. C) The implied volatility of a deep out-of-the money call is smaller than the one obtained from the Black-Scholes price. D) The implied volatility increases as the strike price increases. Please explain and justify your choice. In your answer, discuss the shape of the relation of implied volatility to the strike price and explain how this is obtained.Given the following data, calculate the average demand and the standard deviation. Period Actual Demand Deviation Deviation Squared 1 1700 2 2100 3 1900 4 2200 5 2000 6 1800 7 2100 8 2300 9 2100 10 1800 Total