Clinton Vs Trump Case

This recent election that took place on November 8, 2016 included candidate Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Towards the beginning of the election the results seemed that Hillary would win and was taking

Although Burr was never able to reach 50% in the polls, he exceeded that threshold on Election Day and defeated Ross by almost 6%. In order to analyze the political climate further, I will be comparing the exit polls for both Trump vs. Clinton and Burr vs Ross. This will help explain why Ross was entering the Senate race with a disadvantage despite media pundits arguing that higher turnout in presidential election years should benefit Ross. Although Five Thirty Eight gave Clinton the slight edge to defeat Trump in North Carolina, Trump’s was able to carry the state with a modest performance. Although Real Clear Politics had Burr winning by an average of 2%, that was certainly below the 5.7% final result. In a three way race between Trump, Clinton, and Johnson, Trump was predicted to win North Carolina by about 1%. The actual results, however, showed Trump winning by about 4%. Although this paper is focusing on the Senate race, it’s certainly important to note the impact that a presidential candidate can have on the electoral map, particularly

The Republican Race dominated the media within this election. This republican focus was due to the media/ news reporters main goal: to get a good story, and obviously the person with the most narrative like life was Donald Trump. Even without any competition during the end of the race, Donald Trump still dominated a bulk of the media coverage compared to the democratic race. This journalistic bias was unfair to Hillary Clinton and affected her campaign for the worse. This also proves that America will follow someone with a dominate personality, rather than someone who is well qualified and composed. Due to this fact, it scares me that someone can rise to power by, for lack of a better term, "steamrolling" over other

This presidential election is gearing up to be one of the most if not the most interesting, and strange presidential election in the history of the United States of America. In addition, both Donald Trump and Hilary Clinton are not very loved by the American people. Many individuals feel as if Clinton is a rotten liar and should be in federal prison, and on the other hand many Americans are scared of trump and his ideologies. Sadly, one of them will win the race to the White House, unless something shady occurs. Nevertheless, candidates always make mistakes during their campaigns; sometimes costly mistakes. Though many political scientists have been in favor of Clinton winning this election, there four costly mistakes she can make that can cost her the election. As a matter of fact, she’s currently makes those mistakes.

While Gore and Bush received essentially identical support in the total popular vote, they drew this support from very different constituencies. The electoral map (Figure 1) illustrates the cleavage. In carrying the preponderance of states (30), Bush changed the landscape of American politics. He swept the interior of the nation, including great swaths of the nation's territory in the South, Border, Plains, and Mountain areas. Gore won in only 20 states (and the District of Columbia), almost all on the geographical fringes of the nation--bordering the Atlantic Ocean (north of the Potomac), the Pacific Ocean, and the Great

Trump’s victory surprised many experts and pollsters who had predicted Clinton would come out on top. The results of the election poll also favored Clinton. She won that vote 6,893 to 3,540. One of Trump’s main challenges was to persuade voters that he has the attitude, knowledge, and judgment to be president. He was able to attract more than enough voters to his side. However, Clinton appeared to have won the

The shocking win, defying late polls that showed Donald Trump with a modest but persistent edge, threatened convulsions throughout the country and the world, where skeptics had watched with alarm as Mrs. Clinton unvarnished overtures to disillusioned voters took hold.

November 7, 2016. Many people remember this day as voting for the lesser of two evils in the 2016 presidential election. But, it didn’t matter who you voted for, the outcome of the election shocked the nation. Almost every poll predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the presidential election, but Trump proved them all wrong. After researching the analysis of the 2016 presidential election, some of the most compelling theories on why Trump won the election was the low election turnout, the desire for an outsider, and Trump’s simple message.

Citizens of United States voted and Donald Trump got the magic number of 270 electoral votes allowing him the presidency.

"There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support.", said Andrew Mercer, Claudia Deane and Kyley McGeeney authors on their article “Why 2016 election polls missed their mark” in Pew Research Center. They also gave some several possible explanations for the misstep. The first factor might be what pollsters refer to as nonresponse bias. “Some groups, include the less educated voters who were a key demographic for Trump on Election Day, are consistently hard for pollsters to reach.” Then, the result would be a strongly pro-Trump segment of the population that simply did not show up in the polls in proportion to their actual share of the population. The next factor was many of those who were polled simply were not honest about whom they intended to vote for. The explanation for this factor was “support for Trump was socially undesirable, and that his supporters were unwilling to admit their support to pollsters”. In 1982, a similar case occurred in the gubernatorial election in California. Democrat Tom Bradley, the black mayor of Los Angeles, lost to Republican George Deukmejian despite having been ahead in the polls even though the voters were reluctant to tell interviewers that they were not going to vote for a black candidate. The third factor “involves the way pollsters identify likely voters. Because we can’t know in advance who is actually going to vote, pollsters develop models predicting who is going to vote and what the electorate will look like on Election Day.” This is a notoriously difficult task, and small differences in assumptions can produce sizable differences in election

Since Election Day, there’s been many theories on why so many polls got this election wrong, and I believe it has to do with that nine percent of voters who were unsure of who they were going to vote for. FiveThirtyEight’s final election poll showed that about twelve percent of voters were unsure of who they were going to vote for, even more than the nine percent in POLITICO/Morning Consult’s poll. These unsure voters are part of what lead Trump to a victory. There were many Republicans who were on the fence about Trump, and felt alienated by his radical campaign. But when it came down to Election Day, they didn’t stray from the party, and voted Republican. There was also a group of voters called “Shy Trumpers”, who were embarrassed to publicly admit that they supported Trump, but then voted for him on Election Day. Additionally, many Trump supporters believed that the polls were rigged, so many simply refused to participate in online polls. Some sampling bias might have also contributed to the incorrect prediction. Clinton voters were more likely to take the poll, due to the factors I mentioned above. The “Shy Trumpers” and anti-establishment Trump supports were less likely to take the poll, skewing the results in favor of Clinton, producing the inaccurate

Clinton’s loss in 2016 presidential elections considered as a second greatest political upset of all time after Harry Truman’s victory in 1948. Mrs. Clinton was a seasoned politician with the backing of a sitting government, huge financial resources, and a huge following. Her opponent, Mr. Trump, on the other hand, was an inexperienced outsider, with neither a military nor a political background. During the campaign period, Mr. Trump made numerous gaffes and managed to insult about every ethnic group in America. He faced accusations of sexual assault from twelve women and at some point, there was even a video of him speaking and bragging of sexually harassing women. On paper, Mr. Trump was the easiest opponent to beat, and yet, to the surprise of many political pundits, he defeated Mrs. Clinton. Democrats and political pundits have looked for reasons as to why Mrs. Clinton lost and it really comes down to a series of strategic mistakes by her campaign team and Mrs. Clinton’s message or lack of it, and trust. Mrs. Clinton’s team failed to come up with strategies that would have led to a huge turnout of the Democratic Party's support base. Secondly, Mrs. Clinton did not have a clear message as to why she was running for president for the presidency. Even when she managed to come up with a campaign slogan to explain her reasons for running, she still had to fight trust issues brought by FBI investigations and questions business connections in her charity

Is Hillary Clinton in trouble for having government secrets on her private email server? The inspector general for the U.S. intelligence community concluded that some of the emails Clinton and others exchanged on her private server while she was Secretary of State contained classified information. However, there has been an official disagreement over when and whether the information in the emails was actually classified. Some experts, officials, and members of Congress contended that her use of that private messaging system violated State Department protocols and procedures, and Federal laws and regulations. Legally, If Clinton knowingly used her private server to handle classified information she could have a problem. But if she didn’t know the material was classified when she sent or received it she’s safe.

In the days leading up to November 8th, 2016 news sites and services showed more and more signs of the United States of America electing their first female president, Hillary Rodham Clinton. The reports ranged from almost 100% chance of victory for Clinton to closer to 70. The paths to 375 electoral votes showed plethoras of routes for the Democrats and one or two for the Republicans. However, on the morning of November 9th, the world was shocked when out of nowhere the populist Republican Donald J. Trump came out victorious. The media scrambled to find a scapegoat or a reason for this error in the calculation; voter turnout, Russia, and voter I.D. restrictions were all speculated as the reason for this plot twist of politics, but in the

The controversial presidential election of 2000, Al Gore won a majority of the popular vote, but he did not win the electoral college votes. George W. Bush won the presidency that year and Americans began to question the abolishment of the Electoral College (Wilcox 1). The identical problem reappeared during the 2016 presidential election, when Donald Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by over 2.8 million votes, but he earned 74 votes more votes than Hillary Clinton in the Electoral College, which resulted in Donald Trump becoming the 45th president of The United States of America. Popular votes in the presidential election are more adequate and civil for The United States of America because the people are casting a vote directly for the possible future president rather than casting a vote to the electors of each state.