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The Natural Gas Price Of Gas

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There are various reasons that prediction of natural gas price is imperative to producers, suppliers, traders, market makers, and bankers involved in natural gas exploration, production, transportation and trading as well as consumers involved in utilization of natural gas (Mishra, 2012). The prices of energy commodity including natural gas price are very volatile that make the parties engaged in a high risk and uncertain activities. More accurate forecast of the price, help them to select an appropriate strategy to lower the uncertainty and hedge the risk. This research attempt to find the best way to model and forecast natural gas price among different approaches and choose the optimum practice to use.
The natural gas price is also important in evaluation of gas reserves (Caldwell & Heather, 1996). The price of gas has huge effect on the value of the reserves which is a massive part of Gas Company’s assets. Fluctuation in gas price make an oscillation in company’s value that increase the investment risk which results a decrease in company’s stock price.

1.1. What is Natural Gas
Natural gas (also called marsh or swamp gas in older texts and more recently Landfill gas) is a combustible mixture of gaseous hydrocarbons consisting of methane as a major component and heavier hydrocarbons including ethane, propane, butanes, and very small amount of pentanes or heavier components (Speight, 2007). The natural gas mixture also includes the unsaturated hydrocarbons such as

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