Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time. Murad has been thinkingabout starting her own independent gasoline station.Murad's problem is to decide how large his station would be. The annual returns will depend on boththe size of his station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand forgasoline.After a careful analysis, Murad developed the following table:Size of the first stationSmallMediumLargeVery largeProbabilityGood market,$50 00080 000100 000300 00020%Fair market,$20 00030 00030 00025 00030%a) what is the maximax decision?b) what is the maximin decisionc) what is the equally likely decision (Laplace)d) What is the Expected Monetary Value Criterion (EMV Criterion)Poor market, $-10 000-20 000-40 000-160 00050%

Mathematic models of decision-making help businesses take the correct decision for their operational…

Answered: a) what is the maximax decision? b)…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 46P

See similar textbooks

Similar questions

Harrison Hotels is considering adding a spa to its currentfacility in order to improve the list of amenities. Operating thespa would require a fi xed cost of $25,000 per year. Variable costis estimated at $35 per customer. Th e hotel wants to break even if12,000 customers use the spa facility.(a) Construct a spreadsheet model, assuming that sellingprice is an input to be specifi ed by the user.(b) Use Goal Seek to fi nd the selling price for which the hotelwill break even
1. Investment advisors estimated the stock market returns for four market segments: computers, financial, manufacturing, and pharmaceuticals. Annual return projections vary depending on whether the general economic conditions are improving, stable, or declining. The anticipated annual return percentages for each market segment under each economic condition are as follows: Economic condition Market Segment Improving Stable Declining Computers 10 4 Financial 8 Manufacturing 6. -2 Pharmaceuticals -1 a. What are the decision alternatives given? b. What are the states of nature What is the recommended decision using optimistic, conservative and minimax regret approaches, C.
B 8,000 A 4,000 10,000 20,000 Disposable income Figure 1.2 2) Refer to Figure 1.2. The slope of the line between Points A and B is A) 0.4. C) 2.5. B) 1.2. D) indeterminate from this information. Consumption
Current Asset Usage Policy Payne Products had $2.4 million in sales revenues in the most recent year and expects sales growth to be 25% this year. Payne would like to determine the effect of various current assets policies on its financial performance. Payne has $3 million of fixed assets and intends to keep its debt ratio at its historical level of 50%. Payne's debt interest rate is currently 9%. You are to evaluate three different current asset policies: (1) a restricted policy in which current assets are 45% of projected sales, (2) a moderate policy with 50% of sales tied up in current assets, and (3) a relaxed policy requiring current assets of 60% of sales. Earnings before interest and taxes are expected to be 11% of sales. Payne's tax rate is 35%. What is the expected return on equity under each current asset level? Round your answers to two decimal places. Tight policy % Moderate policy % Relaxed policy %
XYZ work in a small electric business in Basrah city. He had a sunshine controller device. He had to decide how to market his idea, and in the short term, his options could be summarised as selling the device locally, selling nationally through a website, entering a partnership with an existing company or selling the patent. His returns depended on demand, which he described as high, medium, or low. Using this simple model, he developed the matrix of potential annual gains shown below: Options Demand High Medium Low Market locally 60 90 45 Use website 23 90 78 Partnership 12 25 89 Sell patent 30 30 30 Identify the decision taken under the following approaches: (1) Equal probability (2) Regret (3) Hurwicz criterion. Note: The decision maker's degree of Pessimistic (a) is 0.3.
A company has the following alternatives for investment. Using the incremental B/C method, determine which alternative should be selected. Assumei = 10%. А В C Cost new $20,000 $24,000 $16,000 Annual O&M Cost $1,000/yr $800/yr $2,200/yr Annual income $5,600/yr $5,700/yr $5,400/yr Estimated life (yr) 7 9. Note: Incremental B/C method should be used in the solution. Solutions by using other methods will not be graded.
Exclusive Footwear Ltd experiencing profit declining in recent times... In the light of the above research, suggest a list of variables (e.g. IV, DV, or MV), develop conceptual model, and discuss their nature and potential relation to each other with proper justification. Develop relevant hypothesis for the variables.
TRADEKINGS is a soft drink manufacturer in Zambia. Although it has a commandingshare of the soft drink market in Zambia, it is facing increasing competition from asoft drink known as Atia from Kenya and the Coca-Cola line of soft drinks.Required:Use a Product Portfolio (SWOT) Analysis to:A. Identify the opportunity OR threat to the company.B. Identify the company’s strength OR weakness of the company.C. Recommend an appropriate strategy
The purpose of the Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) is to achieve which of the following? It is a charter government association for the county. It is an organization that receives state funds for county projects. It is a group that meets to collaborate on project ideas. It is the largest Council of Government (COG) in Arizona and is a regional planning agency for funds received from the federal government.
A firm that plans to expand its product line must decide whether to build a small or a large facilityto produce the new products. If it builds a small facility and demand is low, the net present valueafter deducting for building costs will be $400,000. If demand is high, the firm can either maintainthe small facility or expand it. Expansion would have a net present value of $450,000, and maintaining the small facility would have a net present value of $50,000.If a large facility is built and demand is high, the estimated net present value is $800,000. If demandturns out to be low, the net present value will be – $10,000.The probability that demand will be high is estimated to be .60, and the probability of low demandis estimated to be .40.a. Analyze using a tree diagram.
A firm that plans to expand its product line must decide whether to build a small or a large facilityto produce the new products. If it builds a small facility and demand is low, the net present valueafter deducting for building costs will be $400,000. If demand is high, the firm can either maintainthe small facility or expand it. Expansion would have a net present value of $450,000, and maintaining the small facility would have a net present value of $50,000.If a large facility is built and demand is high, the estimated net present value is $800,000. If demandturns out to be low, the net present value will be – $10,000.The probability that demand will be high is estimated to be .60, and the probability of low demandis estimated to be .40. 1- Compute the EVPI 2- Determine the range over which each alternative would be best in terms of the value of P ( low demand )
In the table below ratings data on x = the quality of the speed of execution and y = overall satisfaction with electronic trades provided the estimated regression equation ŷ = 0.3402 +0.8922x. Brokerage Speed Satisfaction Scottrade, Inc. 3.5 3.4 Charles Schwab 3.0 3.1 Fidelity Brokerage Services 3.3 3.2 TD Ameritrade 3.6 3.5 E*Trade Financial 3.4 3.7 Vanguard Brokerage Services 3.8 3.6 USAA Brokerage Services 3.3 2.9 Thinkorswim 3.1 3.6 Wells Fargo Investments 2.4 2.4 Interactive Brokers 2.6 2.2 Zecco.com 2.7 3.1 At the 0.05 level of significance, test whether speed of execution and overall satisfaction are related. Show the ANOVA table. What is your conclusion? Source Sum of Squares Degrees Mean Square F (to 2 decimals) of Variation (to 4 decimals) of Freedom (to 4 decimals) Regression Error Total P-value is - Select your answer - We Select your answer - V reject Ho : B1 = 0, we conclude that speed of execution and overall satisfaction Select your answer - V related.

SEE MORE QUESTIONS

Recommended textbooks for you

Practical Management Science

Operations Management

ISBN:

9781337406659

Author:

WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:

Cengage,

MARKETING 2018

Marketing

ISBN:

9780357033753

Author:

Pride

Publisher:

CENGAGE L

Practical Management Science

Operations Management

ISBN:

9781337406659

Author:

WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:

Cengage,

MARKETING 2018

Marketing

ISBN:

9780357033753

Author:

Pride

Publisher:

CENGAGE L

SEE MORE TEXTBOOKS

a) what is the maximax decision? b) what is the maximin decision c) what is the equally likely decision (Laplace)