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- Suppose you are a manager in some leading firm / organization. The owner of the firm wants you to uplift the profit of the firm by introducing some new commodity in the market. Explain all decision making process relating to successfully introducing your commodity in the market.How does the presence of uncertainty affect the usefulness of the model?Refer to the payoff table below of profits in ($000). Which decision alternative results from using the Conservative (Pessimestic) Decision Rule? PAYOFF TABLE High Demand Small Medium Large 35 300 550 -10 Moderate Demand 35 150 75 -10 Low Demand Do Nothing O A. Large O B. Do nothing OC. Medium O D. Small O E. Cannot be determined since relative frequencies are missing. 35 50 -45 -10
- Use the following information to answer multiple-choice Questions 21 to 30. A fibre glass company is considering the possibility of introducing a new product. Because of the expense involved in developing the initial moulds and acquiring the necessary equipment to produce fibreglass, it has decided to conduct a pilot study to make sure that the market will be adequate. They estimate that the pilot study will cost £12,000. Furthermore, the pilot study can be either successful or unsuccessful. The basic decisions are to build a large manufacturing facility, a small manufacturing facility, or no facility at all. With a favourable market, the company can expect to make £100,000 from the large facility or £60,000 from the smaller facility. If the market is unfavourable, however, they estimate that they would lose £40,000 with a large facility, while they would lose only £30,000 with the small facility. The company estimates that the probability of a favourable market given a successful…Risk-neutral probabilities are always Select one: O equal to atomic prices O negative O less than physical probabilities O equal to physical probabilities O equal to forward atomic pricesDescribe how decision analysis is similar to and different from simulation analysis and scenario analysis (at least 75 words)
- The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): Decision State of Nature Alternative Low Demand (S1) Medium Demand (S2) High Demand )S3) Manufacture, d(1) -20 40 100 Purchase, d(2) 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P s1= 0.35, P s2= 0.35, and P s3= 0.30 Use expected value to recommend a decision.Please show all work and explain answer. OneRing Company sells memorabilia to residents of Middle-Earth. They are about to invest $6 million in a new ring making plant. Fixed costs of operating the plant are $1 million a year. The ring costs $60/unit to manufacture (variable cost) and will be sold for $200/unit. The plant will last for 5 years, and will be depreciated over 5 years to zero using the straight-line method. The plant will have no salvage value after five years. Net working capital requirements are negligible for this project. Assume there are no taxes in Middle-Earth, and that the appropriate discount rate for the project is ten percent. How many rings per year must OneRing sell in order to break even?Government officials must decide how to reduce the amount of Magentum being adulterated in the future. According to Becker, which of the following are options that could get the same expected cost of crime commission? 1 - Increase the probability of detection and conviction and combine that with a low sanction. 2 - Change the opportunity cost of the crime. 3 - Keep a low risk of probability of detection and conviction but impose a very high sanction. 1 and 3 1, 2, 3 1 and 2 2 and 3
- In an analyzation of the auto industry in the US using Porter's Five Forces (including the level of competition within the industry) riding a bicycle, taking public transportation and walking are examples of items that appear in which ONE of the five forces? Select one: a. Threat of Substitutes b. Bargaining Power of the Buyer c. Bargaining Power of the Supplier d. Threat of New EntrantsA decision tree is a graphic display of the decision process that indicates decision alternatives, states of nature and their respective probabilities, and payoffs for each combination of alternative and states of nature. O True O False * Previous Next ► MacBook Air 000 000 DD F7 セゴ F5 $ & レ 9 * 00In essay form, What is a decision tree?