Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781305627734
Author: Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Textbook Question
Chapter 15, Problem 5P
Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data warehouse: continuing with its own staff, hiring an outside vendor to do the managing, or using a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands of dollars) depends on demand as follows:
- a. If the demand probabilities are 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3, which decision alternative will minimize the expected cost of the data warehouse? What is the expected annual cost associated with that recommendation?
- b. Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision in part (a). What is the probability of the cost exceeding $700,000?
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Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data processing operation: continue with its own staff, hire an outside vendor to do the managing (referred to as outsourcing), or use a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands of dollars) depends on demand as follows:
a. If the demand probabilities are .2, .5,and .3, which decision alternative will minimize the expected cost of the data processing operation? What is the expected annual cost associated with your recommendation?
b. What is the expected value of perfect information?
XYZ Manufaturing company has hired a new VP (D.A.King) for managing capacity investment decisions. Mr. King reviews the situation after he comes on board and decides that he can invest in Batch manufacturing, Custom manufacturing or Group technology. Mr. King will not be able to forecast demand accurately till after the technology choices are made. Demand will be classified into four scenarios: poor, fair, good and excellent. The table below indicates the payoffs for each combination of technology choice and demand scenario.
POOR
FAIR
GOOD
EXCELLENT
PROBABILITY
0.1
0.4
0.3
0.2
Batch
- $200,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$1,300,000
Custom
$100,000
$300,000
$700,000
$800,000
Group Technology
- $1,000,000
-$500,000
$500,000
$2,000,000
1.What is the expected monetary value of choosing the Group Technology option?
2.What is the expected monetary value of choosing the Batchoption?
3What is the BEST decision based on…
Hemmingway, Inc., is considering a $5 million research and development (R&D) project. Profit projections appear promising, but Hemmingway's president is concerned because the probability that the R&D project will be successful is only 0.50. Furthermore, the president knows that even if the project is successful, it will require that the company build a new production facility at a cost of $20 million in order to manufacture the product. If the facility is built, uncertainty remains about the demand and thus uncertainty about the profit that will be realized. Another option is that if the R&D project is successful, the company could sell the rights to the product for an estimated $25 million. Under this option, the company would not build the $20 million production facility.
The decision tree is shown in Figure 4.16. The profit projection for each outcome is shown at the end of the branches. For example, the revenue projection for the high demand outcome is $59 million.…
Chapter 15 Solutions
Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
Ch. 15 - Prob. 1PCh. 15 - Southland Corporation’s decision to produce a new...Ch. 15 - Amy Lloyd is interested in leasing a new Honda and...Ch. 15 - Investment advisors estimated the stock market...Ch. 15 - Hudson Corporation is considering three options...Ch. 15 - Prob. 6PCh. 15 - Myrtle Air Express decided to offer direct service...Ch. 15 - Video Tech is considering marketing one of two new...Ch. 15 - Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the...Ch. 15 - Hemmingway, Inc. is considering a $5 million...
Ch. 15 - The following profit payoff table was presented in...Ch. 15 - Suppose that you are given a decision situation...Ch. 15 - A firm has three investment alternatives. Payoffs...Ch. 15 - Alexander Industries is considering purchasing an...Ch. 15 - In a certain state lottery, a lottery ticket costs...Ch. 15 - Three decision makers have assessed utilities for...Ch. 15 - In Problem 22, if P(s1) = 0.25, P(s2) = 0.50, and...Ch. 15 - Translate the following monetary payoffs into...Ch. 15 - Consider a decision maker who is comfortable with...
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