Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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Chapter 4, Problem 100P
Summary Introduction
To help: The client in making a decision for the given problem.
Linear programming:
It is a mathematical modeling procedure where a linear function is maximized or minimized subject to certain constraints. This method is widely useful in making a quantitative analysis which is essential for making important business decisions.
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money borrowed for personal reasons; to be repaid within
a specific time frame and with added interest
money borrowed for the purchase of real estate; to be
repaid within a specific time frame and with added interest
money borrowed for business reasons; to be repaid within
a specific time frame and with added interest
money borrowed for the purchase of a vehicle; to be
repaid within a specific time frame and with added interest
: Business Loan
:: Auto Loan
:: Mortgage Loan
:: Personal Loan
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Finish
Si
Bruin Properties is in escrow to buy a 175,000 square foot shopping center in Camarillo, California for $35,000,000. Bruin Properties can borrow $24,000,000 fixed rate fully amortizing over 30 years at a 6.0% annual interest rate with equal monthly payments of principal and interest or it can borrow $28,000,000 fixed rate fully amortizing over 30 years at a 7.0% annual interest rate with equal monthly payments of principal and interest. What is the incremental annual borrowing cost for the additional $4,000,000 loan amount if each loan would be outstanding for the full 30 year term?
a.13.0%
b.12.4%
c.11.5%
d. 7.0%
John Johnson, one of your classmates, is preepairing to launch an e-commerce company to sell home repair guidebooks, tools and other related material for home repairs. He has just told you that he talked to his grandmother over the weekend and she has greed to lendd her 25000 thousand euros to launch the company. When you askedJohn what arrangements he has made with his grandmother to formalize the loan, he looked puzzled and said "She plans to send me a check in a week or so, she just needs to get them out of her savings account". Do you agree/disagree with John's actions? What would you advise him to do?
Chapter 4 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 1PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 2PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 3PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 4PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 5PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 6PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 8PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 9PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 11PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 12PCh. 4.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 4.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 4.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 4.4 - Prob. 16PCh. 4.4 - Prob. 17PCh. 4.4 - Prob. 18PCh. 4.4 - Prob. 19PCh. 4.5 - Prob. 20PCh. 4.5 - Prob. 21PCh. 4.5 - Prob. 22PCh. 4.5 - Prob. 23PCh. 4.5 - Prob. 24PCh. 4.5 - Prob. 25PCh. 4.6 - Prob. 26PCh. 4.6 - Prob. 27PCh. 4.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 4.6 - Prob. 29PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 30PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 31PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 32PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 33PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 34PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 35PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 36PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 37PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 38PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 39PCh. 4.7 - Prob. 40PCh. 4.8 - Prob. 41PCh. 4.8 - Prob. 42PCh. 4.8 - Prob. 43PCh. 4.8 - Prob. 44PCh. 4 - Prob. 45PCh. 4 - Prob. 46PCh. 4 - Prob. 47PCh. 4 - Prob. 48PCh. 4 - Prob. 49PCh. 4 - Prob. 50PCh. 4 - Prob. 51PCh. 4 - Prob. 52PCh. 4 - Prob. 53PCh. 4 - Prob. 54PCh. 4 - Prob. 55PCh. 4 - Prob. 56PCh. 4 - Prob. 57PCh. 4 - Prob. 58PCh. 4 - Prob. 59PCh. 4 - Prob. 60PCh. 4 - Prob. 61PCh. 4 - Prob. 62PCh. 4 - Prob. 63PCh. 4 - Prob. 64PCh. 4 - Prob. 65PCh. 4 - Prob. 66PCh. 4 - Prob. 67PCh. 4 - Prob. 68PCh. 4 - Prob. 69PCh. 4 - Prob. 70PCh. 4 - Prob. 71PCh. 4 - Prob. 72PCh. 4 - Prob. 73PCh. 4 - Prob. 74PCh. 4 - Prob. 75PCh. 4 - Prob. 76PCh. 4 - Prob. 77PCh. 4 - Prob. 78PCh. 4 - Prob. 79PCh. 4 - Prob. 80PCh. 4 - You want to take out a 450,000 loan on a 20-year...Ch. 4 - Prob. 82PCh. 4 - Prob. 83PCh. 4 - Prob. 84PCh. 4 - Prob. 85PCh. 4 - Prob. 86PCh. 4 - Prob. 87PCh. 4 - Prob. 88PCh. 4 - Prob. 89PCh. 4 - Prob. 90PCh. 4 - Prob. 91PCh. 4 - Prob. 92PCh. 4 - Prob. 93PCh. 4 - Prob. 94PCh. 4 - Prob. 95PCh. 4 - Prob. 96PCh. 4 - Prob. 97PCh. 4 - Prob. 98PCh. 4 - Prob. 99PCh. 4 - Prob. 100PCh. 4 - Prob. 101PCh. 4 - Prob. 102PCh. 4 - Prob. 103PCh. 4 - Prob. 104PCh. 4 - Prob. 105PCh. 4 - Prob. 106PCh. 4 - Prob. 107PCh. 4 - Prob. 108PCh. 4 - Prob. 109PCh. 4 - Prob. 110PCh. 4 - Prob. 111PCh. 4 - Prob. 112PCh. 4 - Prob. 113PCh. 4 - Prob. 114PCh. 4 - Prob. 115PCh. 4 - Prob. 116PCh. 4 - Prob. 117PCh. 4 - Prob. 118PCh. 4 - Prob. 119PCh. 4 - Prob. 120PCh. 4 - Prob. 121PCh. 4 - Prob. 122PCh. 4 - Prob. 123PCh. 4 - Prob. 124PCh. 4 - Prob. 125PCh. 4 - Prob. 126PCh. 4 - Prob. 127PCh. 4 - Prob. 128PCh. 4 - Prob. 129PCh. 4 - Prob. 130PCh. 4 - Prob. 131PCh. 4 - Prob. 132PCh. 4 - Prob. 133PCh. 4 - Prob. 134PCh. 4 - Prob. 135P
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- It is January 1 of year 0, and Merck is trying to determine whether to continue development of a new drug. The following information is relevant. You can assume that all cash flows occur at the ends of the respective years. Clinical trials (the trials where the drug is tested on humans) are equally likely to be completed in year 1 or 2. There is an 80% chance that clinical trials will succeed. If these trials fail, the FDA will not allow the drug to be marketed. The cost of clinical trials is assumed to follow a triangular distribution with best case 100 million, most likely case 150 million, and worst case 250 million. Clinical trial costs are incurred at the end of the year clinical trials are completed. If clinical trials succeed, the drug will be sold for five years, earning a profit of 6 per unit sold. If clinical trials succeed, a plant will be built during the same year trials are completed. The cost of the plant is assumed to follow a triangular distribution with best case 1 billion, most likely case 1.5 billion, and worst case 2.5 billion. The plant cost will be depreciated on a straight-line basis during the five years of sales. Sales begin the year after successful clinical trials. Of course, if the clinical trials fail, there are no sales. During the first year of sales, Merck believe sales will be between 100 million and 200 million units. Sales of 140 million units are assumed to be three times as likely as sales of 120 million units, and sales of 160 million units are assumed to be twice as likely as sales of 120 million units. Merck assumes that for years 2 to 5 that the drug is on the market, the growth rate will be the same each year. The annual growth in sales will be between 5% and 15%. There is a 25% chance that the annual growth will be 7% or less, a 50% chance that it will be 9% or less, and a 75% chance that it will be 12% or less. Cash flows are discounted 15% per year, and the tax rate is 40%. Use simulation to model Mercks situation. Based on the simulation output, would you recommend that Merck continue developing? Explain your reasoning. What are the three key drivers of the projects NPV? (Hint: The way the uncertainty about the first year sales is stated suggests using the General distribution, implemented with the RISKGENERAL function. Similarly, the way the uncertainty about the annual growth rate is stated suggests using the Cumul distribution, implemented with the RISKCUMUL function. Look these functions up in @RISKs online help.)arrow_forwardIn the financial world, there are many types of complex instruments called derivatives that derive their value from the value of an underlying asset. Consider the following simple derivative. A stocks current price is 80 per share. You purchase a derivative whose value to you becomes known a month from now. Specifically, let P be the price of the stock in a month. If P is between 75 and 85, the derivative is worth nothing to you. If P is less than 75, the derivative results in a loss of 100(75-P) dollars to you. (The factor of 100 is because many derivatives involve 100 shares.) If P is greater than 85, the derivative results in a gain of 100(P-85) dollars to you. Assume that the distribution of the change in the stock price from now to a month from now is normally distributed with mean 1 and standard deviation 8. Let EMV be the expected gain/loss from this derivative. It is a weighted average of all the possible losses and gains, weighted by their likelihoods. (Of course, any loss should be expressed as a negative number. For example, a loss of 1500 should be expressed as -1500.) Unfortunately, this is a difficult probability calculation, but EMV can be estimated by an @RISK simulation. Perform this simulation with at least 1000 iterations. What is your best estimate of EMV?arrow_forwardA project does not necessarily have a unique IRR. (Refer to the previous problem for more information on IRR.) Show that a project with the following cash flows has two IRRs: year 1, 20; year 2, 82; year 3, 60; year 4, 2. (Note: It can be shown that if the cash flow of a project changes sign only once, the project is guaranteed to have a unique IRR.)arrow_forward
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